Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections

We publish Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutant emissions projections annually. These projections help measure progress in reducing emissions and combating climate change. GHG projections are presented for various scenarios. Air pollutant emissions projections reflect our efforts to reduce air pollution.

Site Contents:

• current_projections_actuelles: Contains the latest projections from Canada's First Biennial Transparency Report (2024).

• previous_projections_precedentes: Includes projections reported since 2017.

From 2021, a file named “combined-table-tableau-combiné.xlsx” is also included in the top folder. This file contains a summary of all data tables included in the “GHG – GES” and "Energy - Énergie" sub-folders

Key Folders:

• GHG – GES (introduced in 2018): Contains GHG and air pollutant emissions data. From 2021, includes LULUCF net GHG fluxes and accounting contributions. From 2024, includes net GHG flux historical estimates and projections from provinces and territories by land category.

• Energy – Énergie (introduced in 2018): Includes energy and macroeconomic data. From 2021, includes emission factors for flaring, venting, and fugitive emissions for the Oil and Gas sector. From 2022, includes sub-folders with results for the reference case and additional measures scenarios. From 2023, includes emissions per capita by province/territory and for Canada. From 2024, includes a document outlining the calculation of electricity grid intensities with and without biogenic carbon dioxide emissions.

Additional Sub-Folders:

• Reference Scenario de reference (introduced in 2022): Reflects the current Reference Case scenario.

• AM Scenario AMS (introduced in 2022): Reflects the current Additional Measures scenario. From 2023, includes macroeconomic assumptions.

• Description-Tables-Tableaux-de-description (introduced in 2024): This folder includes the data tables used to develop the data visualizations that are available on our website (https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html). The data presented in this folder can also be found in the other two folders, and is included to make the data presented in the visualizations more accessible.

Datasets available for download

Additional Info

Field	Value
Last Updated	October 20, 2025, 02:46 (UTC)
Created	October 20, 2025, 02:46 (UTC)
Domain / Topic Domain or topic of the dataset being cataloged.
Title Title for the Dataset.	Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections
Description A description of the dataset.	We publish Canada’s greenhouse gas (GHG) and air pollutant emissions projections annually. These projections help measure progress in reducing emissions and combating climate change. GHG projections are presented for various scenarios. Air pollutant emissions projections reflect our efforts to reduce air pollution. Site Contents: • current_projections_actuelles: Contains the latest projections from Canada's First Biennial Transparency Report (2024). • previous_projections_precedentes: Includes projections reported since 2017. From 2021, a file named “combined-table-tableau-combiné.xlsx” is also included in the top folder. This file contains a summary of all data tables included in the “GHG – GES” and "Energy - Énergie" sub-folders Key Folders: • GHG – GES (introduced in 2018): Contains GHG and air pollutant emissions data. From 2021, includes LULUCF net GHG fluxes and accounting contributions. From 2024, includes net GHG flux historical estimates and projections from provinces and territories by land category. • Energy – Énergie (introduced in 2018): Includes energy and macroeconomic data. From 2021, includes emission factors for flaring, venting, and fugitive emissions for the Oil and Gas sector. From 2022, includes sub-folders with results for the reference case and additional measures scenarios. From 2023, includes emissions per capita by province/territory and for Canada. From 2024, includes a document outlining the calculation of electricity grid intensities with and without biogenic carbon dioxide emissions. Additional Sub-Folders: • Reference Scenario de reference (introduced in 2022): Reflects the current Reference Case scenario. • AM Scenario AMS (introduced in 2022): Reflects the current Additional Measures scenario. From 2023, includes macroeconomic assumptions. • Description-Tables-Tableaux-de-description (introduced in 2024): This folder includes the data tables used to develop the data visualizations that are available on our website (https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/climate-change/greenhouse-gas-emissions/projections.html). The data presented in this folder can also be found in the other two folders, and is included to make the data presented in the visualizations more accessible.
Tags / Keywords Keywords/tags categorizing the dataset.	AB Acid Agricultural Agriculture Air pollution Alberta Aluminium Apidic Arctic Council Aviation BC British Burning CH4 CO2 Canada Casters Cement Chemical Civil Coal Columbia Combustion Commercial Construction Consumption Cropland Diesel Direct Disposal Domestic Edward Electricity Energy Enteric Environmental Extraction Fermentation Forest Forestry Fossil Fuel Fugitive GHG Gasoline Generation Gothenburg Protocol Grassland Greenhouse gases HFC Halocarbons Handling Heat Heavy-duty Incineration Indicators Indirect Industrial Industries Industry Institutional Iron Island LULUCF Labrador Land Land-use Light-duty Lime MB Magnesium Manitoba Manufacturing Manure Marine Metal Mineral Mining Motorcycles N2O NB NF3 NFLD NIR NS NT NU Natural Nature and Environment Navigation New Brunswick Newfoundland Nitric Northwest Nova Scotia Nunavut ON Off-Road Oil Ontario PCF PEI PFC Paddock Pan Canadian Framework Paris Agreement Pasture Petrochemical Pipelines Pollutants Prince Processes Production Products Propane QC Quebec Railways Range Refining Residential Residues Road SASK SF6 Saskatchewan Settlements Smelters Soils Solid Solvent Sources Stationary Steel Territories Territory Transport Transportation Trucks UNFCCC Undifferentiated Vehicles Waste Wastewater Wetlands YK Yukon air ammonia black carbon carbon carbon monoxide compound dioxide emissions gas greenhouse hydrofluorocarbons inventory land-use change... matter mercury methane national nitrogen nitrogen trifluoride nitrous oxide open sources organic oxide oxides ozone particulate perfluorocarbons pollutant pollution province provincial reference report scenario sulphur sulphur hexafluoride technology volatile
Format (CSV, XLS, TXT, PDF, etc) File format of the dataset.
Dataset Size Dataset size in megabytes.
Metadata Identifier Metadata identifier – can be used as the unique identifier for catalogue entry
Published Date Published date of the dataset.	2019-02-04
Time Period Data Span (start date) Start date of the data in the dataset.
Time Period Data Span (end date) End date of time data in the dataset.
GeoSpatial Area Data Span A spatial region or named place the dataset covers.

Field	Value
Access category Type of access granted for the dataset (open, closed, service, etc).
License License used to access the dataset.	Open Government Licence - Canada
Limits on use Limits on use of data.
Location Location of the dataset.	https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/7ba5acf6-ebae-45b6-bb14-84ab56ad2055
Data Service Data service for accessing a dataset.
Owner Owner of the dataset.	Environment and Climate Change Canada \| Environnement et Changement climatique Canada
Contact Point Who to contact regarding access?	Government of Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Strategic Policy Branch, Economic Analysis Directorate, Analysis and Modeling Division, [email protected]
Contact Point Email The email to contact regarding access?
Publisher Publisher of the dataset.
Publisher Email Email of the publisher.	[email protected]
Author Author of the dataset.
Author Email Email of the author.
Accessed At Date the data and metadata was accessed.

Field	Value
Identifier Unique identifier for the dataset.
Language Language(s) of the dataset
Link to dataset description A URL to an external document describing the dataset.
Persistent Identifier Data is identified by a persistent identifier.
Globally Unique Identifier Data is identified by a persistent and globally unique identifier.
Contains data about individuals Does the data hold data about individuals?
Contains data about identifiable individuals Does the data hold identifiable data about individual?
Contains Indigenous Data Does the data hold data about Indigenous communities?
Portal Type Platform type of the source portal.

Field	Value
Version Version of the datatset	None
Source Source of the dataset.	None
Version notes Version notes about the dataset.
Is version of another dataset Link to dataset that it is a version of.
Other versions Link to datasets that are versions of it.
Provenance Text Provenance Text of the data.
Provenance URL Provenance URL of the data.
Temporal resolution Describes how granular the date/time data in the dataset is.
GeoSpatial resolution in meters Describes how granular (in meters) geospatial data is in the dataset.
GeoSpatial resolution (in regions) Describes how granular (in regions) geospatial data is in the dataset.

Field	Value
Indigenous Community Permission Who holds the Indigenous Community Permission. Who to contact regarding access to a dataset that has data about Indigenous communities.
Community Permission Community permission (who gave permission).
The Indigenous communities the dataset is about Indigenous communities from which data is derived.

Field	Value
Number of data rows If tabular dataset, total number of rows.
Number of data columns If tabular dataset, total number of unique columns.
Number of data cells If tabular dataset, total number of cells with data.
Number of data relations If RDF dataset, total number of triples.
Number of entities If RDF dataset, total number of entities.
Number of data properties If RDF dataset, total number of unique properties used by the triples.
Data quality Describes the quality of the data in the dataset.
Metric for data quality A metric used to measure the quality of the data, such as missing values or invalid formats.

Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions Projections

Datasets available for download

Additional Info

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